REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 64237 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 13% faster than plan

Finished 18:4413h30

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 30% against the history — the plan has stopped describing this run; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 8h26m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0006:491h3406:531h38-25mnone+in +out
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0307:572h4208:062h52-21m09:103h55 +1h13+in +out
Sugarloaf20.811:055h5010:305h1610:415h26-34m12:106h55 +1h39+in +out
Cramer Road26.112:397h2511:556h4012:046h50-44m13:458h30 +1h50+in +out
Temperance33.214:479h3213:568h41-51m16:0010h45 +2h04+in +out
Sawbill38.416:3211h1715:1710h0315:2710h12-1h1417:4012h25 +2h22+in +out
Oberg44.118:2013h0616:4011h2616:5111h36-1h4019:1013h55 +2h29+in +out
Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0018:4413h30-2h3022:0016h45 +3h15+in +out

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload