REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 63433 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 18% slower than plan

Finished 00:5519h40

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 30% against the history — the plan has stopped describing this run; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 2h16m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:041h50-10mnone+in +out
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0308:243h09+7m09:103h55 +46m+in +out
Sugarloaf20.811:055h5011:246h1011:346h20+19m12:106h55 +45m+in +out
Cramer Road26.112:397h2513:388h2313:488h33+58m13:458h30 +7m+in +out
Temperance33.214:479h3215:5410h4016:0510h50+1h0816:0010h45 +5m+in +out
! Sawbill38.416:3211h1718:2313h0818:3213h17+1h5117:4012h25 -43m+in +out
! Oberg44.118:2013h0620:4315h2921:1415h59+2h2319:1013h55 -1h34+in +out
! Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0000:5519h40+3h4022:0016h45 -2h55+in +out

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload