REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 62007 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 3% slower than plan

Finished 21:2516h10

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 5h46m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:182h0407:212h07+4mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0308:333h1808:423h28+15m09:103h55 +37m+time
Sugarloaf20.811:055h5011:135h5811:226h08+8m12:106h55 +57m+time
Cramer Road26.112:397h2512:547h3913:047h50+15m13:458h30 +51m+time
Temperance33.214:479h3215:1810h0415:2810h14+32m16:0010h45 +41m+time
Sawbill38.416:3211h1717:1412h0017:2412h09+43m17:4012h25 +25m+time
Oberg44.118:2013h0619:0313h4819:1313h58+42m19:1013h55 +7m+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0021:2516h10+10m22:0016h45 +35m+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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