REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 58724 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 20% slower than plan

Finished 01:0419h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 2h6m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:342h2007:442h30+20mnone+in +out
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0309:043h5009:354h20+47m09:103h55 +5m+in +out
! Sugarloaf20.811:055h5012:577h4213:168h02+1h5212:106h55 -47m+in +out
! Cramer Road26.112:397h2514:479h3314:589h43+2h0813:458h30 -1h03+in +out
! Temperance33.214:479h3217:1411h5917:2412h09+2h2716:0010h45 -1h14+in +out
! Sawbill38.416:3211h1719:2514h1019:3414h20+2h5317:4012h25 -1h45+in +out
! Oberg44.118:2013h0621:3316h1921:4416h29+3h1319:1013h55 -2h24+in +out
! Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0001:0419h50+3h5022:0016h45 -3h05+in +out

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload