REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 57765 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 16% slower than plan

Finished 00:2519h10

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 2h46m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:041h50-10mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0308:163h0208:273h12-1m09:103h55 +53m+time
Sugarloaf20.811:055h5011:346h1911:436h29+29m12:106h55 +36m+time
Cramer Road26.112:397h2513:348h2013:548h39+55m13:458h30 +10m+time
! Temperance33.214:479h3216:3211h1816:4211h28+1h4616:0010h45 -33m+time
! Sawbill38.416:3211h1718:3413h1918:4413h29+2h0217:4012h25 -54m+time
! Oberg44.118:2013h0620:5215h3721:0215h47+2h3219:1013h55 -1h42+time
! Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0000:2519h10+3h1022:0016h45 -2h25+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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