REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 57729 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 17% faster than plan

Finished 17:5512h40

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 9h16m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0006:551h40-20mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0307:442h3007:472h33-33m09:103h55 +1h25+time
Sugarloaf20.811:055h5009:524h38-1h1212:106h55 +2h17+time
Cramer Road26.112:397h2511:075h5311:276h13-1h3213:458h30 +2h37+time
Temperance33.214:479h3213:057h5013:147h59-1h4216:0010h45 +2h55+time
Sawbill38.416:3211h1714:249h1014:459h30-2h0717:4012h25 +3h15+time
Oberg44.118:2013h0615:5710h43-2h2319:1013h55 +3h12+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0017:5512h40-3h2022:0016h45 +4h05+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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