REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 57723 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 17% faster than plan

Finished 18:1413h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 8h56m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0006:441h30-30mnone+in +out
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0307:362h2207:462h32-41m09:103h55 +1h33+in +out
Sugarloaf20.811:055h5009:594h4510:104h55-1h0612:106h55 +2h10+in +out
Cramer Road26.112:397h2511:146h0011:256h10-1h2513:458h30 +2h30+in +out
Temperance33.214:479h3212:457h3112:487h34-2h0116:0010h45 +3h14+in +out
Sawbill38.416:3211h1714:048h50-2h2817:4012h25 +3h35+in +out
Oberg44.118:2013h0615:3210h1815:4210h28-2h4819:1013h55 +3h37+in +out
Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0018:1413h00-3h0022:0016h45 +3h45+in +out

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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