REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 56908 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 6% slower than plan

Finished 22:1517h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 4h56m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:142h00+0mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0308:243h10+7m09:103h55 +45m+time
Sugarloaf20.811:055h5010:555h4010:575h42-10m12:106h55 +1h15+time
Cramer Road26.112:397h2512:407h2612:597h45+1m13:458h30 +1h04+time
Temperance33.214:479h3215:1410h0015:3410h19+27m16:0010h45 +45m+time
Sawbill38.416:3211h1717:1912h0517:2912h14+47m17:4012h25 +20m+time
! Oberg44.118:2013h0619:1213h5719:2114h07+51m19:1013h55 -2m+time
! Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0022:1517h00+1h0022:0016h45 -15m+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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