REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 56590 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running at plan pace

Finished 21:1516h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 5h56m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:152h0007:182h03+0mnone+in +out
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0308:333h1808:423h28+15m09:103h55 +37m+in +out
Sugarloaf20.811:055h5011:246h0911:346h19+19m12:106h55 +46m+in +out
Cramer Road26.112:397h2513:047h5013:258h10+25m13:458h30 +40m+in +out
Temperance33.214:479h3215:1410h0015:2510h10+27m16:0010h45 +45m+in +out
Sawbill38.416:3211h1717:1311h5817:2312h08+41m17:4012h25 +27m+in +out
Oberg44.118:2013h0618:5213h3819:0213h48+32m19:1013h55 +17m+in +out
Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0021:1516h00+0m22:0016h45 +45m+in +out

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload