REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 56579 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 12% slower than plan

Finished 23:3518h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 3h36m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:252h1007:292h14+11mnone+in +out
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0308:343h20+17m09:103h55 +35m+in +out
Sugarloaf20.811:055h5011:045h5011:146h00-0m12:106h55 +1h05+in +out
Cramer Road26.112:397h2512:537h3813:027h48+14m13:458h30 +52m+in +out
Temperance33.214:479h3215:2510h1015:3410h20+38m16:0010h45 +35m+in +out
Sawbill38.416:3211h1717:2312h0817:3312h19+51m17:4012h25 +17m+in +out
! Oberg44.118:2013h0619:4214h2720:0214h47+1h2219:1013h55 -32m+in +out
! Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0023:3518h20+2h2022:0016h45 -1h35+in +out

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload