REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 56513 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 16% faster than plan

Finished 18:0412h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 30% against the history — the plan has stopped describing this run; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 9h6m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0006:381h24-36mnone+in +out
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0307:342h2007:372h22-43m09:103h55 +1h35+in +out
Sugarloaf20.811:055h5009:274h1309:384h23-1h3712:106h55 +2h42+in +out
Cramer Road26.112:397h2510:535h3911:035h49-1h4613:458h30 +2h51+in +out
Temperance33.214:479h3212:347h20-2h1316:0010h45 +3h25+in +out
Sawbill38.416:3211h1714:229h0814:329h17-2h0917:4012h25 +3h17+in +out
Oberg44.118:2013h0615:5910h4516:0910h55-2h2119:1013h55 +3h10+in +out
Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0018:0412h50-3h1022:0016h45 +3h55+in +out

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload