REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 56331 speed 20× Restart

Runner

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

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7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 26% slower than plan

Finished 02:2521h10

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 30% against the history — the plan has stopped describing this run; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 46m old.

Aid	Mile	Crew	Bag	Plan	In	Out	vs plan	Cutoff
Sonju Lake Road	7.0	—	✓	07:142h00	07:142h00		+0m	none	+in +out
Crosby-Manitou	11.1	✓	✓	08:173h03	08:353h20	08:543h40	+17m	09:103h55 +35m	+in +out
! Sugarloaf	20.8	✓	✓	11:055h50	12:247h09	12:347h20	+1h19	12:106h55 -14m	+in +out
! Cramer Road	26.1	✓	✓	12:397h25	14:179h03	14:279h12	+1h38	13:458h30 -33m	+in +out
! Temperance	33.2	—	✓	14:479h32	17:0411h49	17:1411h59	+2h17	16:0010h45 -1h04	+in +out
! Sawbill	38.4	✓	✓	16:3211h17	19:5314h38	20:1314h59	+3h21	17:4012h25 -2h13	+in +out
! Oberg	44.1	✓	✓	18:2013h06	22:3317h18	22:5317h39	+4h13	19:1013h55 -3h23	+in +out
! Finish · Caribou Highlands	51.6	✓	✓	21:1516h00	02:2521h10		+5h10	22:0016h45 -4h25	+in +out

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload