REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 54656 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 21% slower than plan

Finished 01:2420h10

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 1h46m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:342h20+20mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0308:433h2908:533h39+26m09:103h55 +26m+time
Sugarloaf20.811:055h5012:046h5012:157h00+1h0012:106h55 +5m+time
! Cramer Road26.112:397h2514:078h5314:179h02+1h2813:458h30 -23m+time
! Temperance33.214:479h3216:4211h2816:5211h38+1h5516:0010h45 -43m+time
! Sawbill38.416:3211h1719:0313h4819:1213h58+2h3117:4012h25 -1h23+time
! Oberg44.118:2013h0621:4216h2822:0316h48+3h2219:1013h55 -2h33+time
! Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0001:2420h10+4h1022:0016h45 -3h25+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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