REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 54580 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 21% slower than plan

Finished 01:1520h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 1h56m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:442h30+30mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0309:033h4909:244h09+46m09:103h55 +6m+time
! Sugarloaf20.811:055h5012:247h1012:277h12+1h1912:106h55 -15m+time
! Cramer Road26.112:397h2514:159h0014:249h10+1h3513:458h30 -30m+time
! Temperance33.214:479h3216:5511h4017:0411h49+2h0816:0010h45 -55m+time
! Sawbill38.416:3211h1719:2314h0819:3314h18+2h5117:4012h25 -1h43+time
! Oberg44.118:2013h0621:5216h3822:1216h57+3h3219:1013h55 -2h43+time
! Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0001:1520h00+4h0022:0016h45 -3h15+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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