REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 53774 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 21% faster than plan

Finished 17:1412h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 9h56m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0006:401h26-34mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0307:352h2107:372h23-42m09:103h55 +1h34+time
Sugarloaf20.811:055h5009:444h30-1h2112:106h55 +2h25+time
Cramer Road26.112:397h2510:555h40-1h4413:458h30 +2h50+time
Temperance33.214:479h3212:247h10-2h2316:0010h45 +3h35+time
Sawbill38.416:3211h1713:538h3814:048h49-2h3917:4012h25 +3h47+time
Oberg44.118:2013h0615:149h5915:2410h10-3h0619:1013h55 +3h56+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0017:1412h00-4h0022:0016h45 +4h45+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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