REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 53376 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 9% slower than plan

Finished 23:0417h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 4h6m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:101h5607:202h06-4mnone+in +out
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0308:233h0908:333h19+6m09:103h55 +46m+in +out
Sugarloaf20.811:055h5011:246h1011:346h19+19m12:106h55 +45m+in +out
Cramer Road26.112:397h2513:148h0013:248h10+35m13:458h30 +30m+in +out
Temperance33.214:479h3215:3310h1915:5310h38+47m16:0010h45 +26m+in +out
Sawbill38.416:3211h1717:3412h20+1h0317:4012h25 +5m+in +out
! Oberg44.118:2013h0619:3314h1919:5414h39+1h1319:1013h55 -24m+in +out
! Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0023:0417h50+1h5022:0016h45 -1h05+in +out

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload