REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 53255 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 16% faster than plan

Finished 18:1513h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 8h56m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:041h5007:091h54-10mnone+in +out
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0307:552h41-22m09:103h55 +1h14+in +out
Sugarloaf20.811:055h5010:195h04-46m12:106h55 +1h51+in +out
Cramer Road26.112:397h2511:356h2011:456h30-1h0513:458h30 +2h10+in +out
Temperance33.214:479h3213:168h0213:278h12-1h3016:0010h45 +2h43+in +out
Sawbill38.416:3211h1714:449h3014:549h40-1h4717:4012h25 +2h55+in +out
Oberg44.118:2013h0616:1210h5716:2211h07-2h0819:1013h55 +2h58+in +out
Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0018:1513h00-3h0022:0016h45 +3h45+in +out

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload