REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 52935 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running at plan pace

Finished 20:5515h40

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 6h16m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:182h0407:212h07+4mnone+in +out
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0308:253h1008:343h19+7m09:103h55 +45m+in +out
Sugarloaf20.811:055h5011:045h49-1m12:106h55 +1h06+in +out
Cramer Road26.112:397h2512:377h2212:477h33-2m13:458h30 +1h08+in +out
Temperance33.214:479h3214:349h20-13m16:0010h45 +1h25+in +out
Sawbill38.416:3211h1716:2411h0916:4311h29-8m17:4012h25 +1h16+in +out
Oberg44.118:2013h0618:2213h0718:3213h18+2m19:1013h55 +48m+in +out
Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0020:5515h40-20m22:0016h45 +1h05+in +out

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload