REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 49567 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 25% slower than plan

Finished 02:3521h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 30% against the history — the plan has stopped describing this run; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 36m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:452h3007:552h40+31mnone+in +out
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0308:443h30+27m09:103h55 +25m+in +out
Sugarloaf20.811:055h5011:546h40+49m12:106h55 +15m+in +out
! Cramer Road26.112:397h2513:578h4314:279h13+1h1813:458h30 -13m+in +out
! Temperance33.214:479h3217:0211h4817:1311h58+2h1616:0010h45 -1h03+in +out
! Sawbill38.416:3211h1719:3414h2019:4414h30+3h0317:4012h25 -1h55+in +out
! Oberg44.118:2013h0622:1216h5722:3217h18+3h5219:1013h55 -3h02+in +out
! Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0002:3521h20+5h2022:0016h45 -4h35+in +out

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload