REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 48752 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 23% slower than plan

Finished 01:4420h30

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 1h26m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:452h30+31mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0308:543h40+37m09:103h55 +15m+time
Sugarloaf20.811:055h5012:076h5212:277h12+1h0212:106h55 +3m+time
! Cramer Road26.112:397h2514:379h2314:479h32+1h5813:458h30 -53m+time
! Temperance33.214:479h3217:1211h5817:3212h18+2h2516:0010h45 -1h13+time
! Sawbill38.416:3211h1719:4314h2920:0314h49+3h1117:4012h25 -2h04+time
! Oberg44.118:2013h0622:0416h4922:1416h59+3h4419:1013h55 -2h54+time
! Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0001:4420h30+4h3022:0016h45 -3h45+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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