REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 46212 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 29% slower than plan

Projected finish 03:1321h59 (03:0521h5103:2122h07)past the 22:0016h45 cutoff

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 30% against the history — the plan has stopped describing this run; finish typically ±8m.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:352h2007:372h22+21mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0308:443h3008:543h39+27m09:103h55 +25m+time
! Sugarloaf20.811:055h5012:147h0012:247h10+1h1012:106h55 -5m+time
! Cramer Road26.112:397h2514:179h0214:479h33+1h3813:458h30 -32m+time
! Temperance33.214:479h3217:4312h2918:0312h49+2h5716:0010h45 -1h44+time
! Sawbill38.416:3211h1720:4215h2821:0215h48+4h1117:4012h25 -3h03+time
! Oberg44.118:2013h0623:2318h0823:4218h28+5h0319:1013h55 -4h13+time
! Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h00~03:13~21h59 ±8m22:0016h45 -5h14+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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