REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 45809 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running at plan pace

Finished 21:0415h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 6h6m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0006:571h43-17mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0307:582h4308:082h53-20m09:103h55 +1h12+time
Sugarloaf20.811:055h5010:355h2010:375h23-30m12:106h55 +1h35+time
Cramer Road26.112:397h2512:056h5112:147h00-34m13:458h30 +1h39+time
Temperance33.214:479h3214:078h5214:169h02-40m16:0010h45 +1h53+time
Sawbill38.416:3211h1715:5310h3816:0310h49-39m17:4012h25 +1h47+time
Oberg44.118:2013h0617:4312h2817:5312h38-37m19:1013h55 +1h27+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0021:0415h50-10m22:0016h45 +55m+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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