REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 45307 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 22% slower than plan

Finished 01:3520h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 1h36m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:152h00+1mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0308:333h1808:433h28+16m09:103h55 +37m+time
Sugarloaf20.811:055h5011:546h40+49m12:106h55 +15m+time
! Cramer Road26.112:397h2513:548h4014:149h00+1h1513:458h30 -10m+time
! Temperance33.214:479h3216:4411h2917:3312h19+1h5716:0010h45 -44m+time
! Sawbill38.416:3211h1719:3314h1819:5214h38+3h0117:4012h25 -1h53+time
! Oberg44.118:2013h0621:5216h3722:1216h58+3h3219:1013h55 -2h42+time
! Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0001:3520h20+4h2022:0016h45 -3h35+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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