REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 44453 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 10% slower than plan

Finished 23:0517h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 4h6m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:442h3007:542h40+30mnone+in +out
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0309:053h51+48m09:103h55 +4m+in +out
! Sugarloaf20.811:055h5012:146h5912:247h09+1h0912:106h55 -4m+in +out
! Cramer Road26.112:397h2513:548h4014:149h00+1h1513:458h30 -10m+in +out
! Temperance33.214:479h3216:1411h00+1h2716:0010h45 -15m+in +out
! Sawbill38.416:3211h1718:0312h4818:2213h08+1h3117:4012h25 -23m+in +out
! Oberg44.118:2013h0620:0314h4920:1415h00+1h4319:1013h55 -54m+in +out
! Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0023:0517h50+1h5022:0016h45 -1h05+in +out

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload