REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 41524 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 13% slower than plan

Finished 23:5418h40

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 3h16m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:542h40+40mnone+in +out
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0309:043h5009:144h00+47m09:103h55 +5m+in +out
! Sugarloaf20.811:055h5012:167h0212:267h12+1h1112:106h55 -7m+in +out
! Cramer Road26.112:397h2514:148h5914:249h09+1h3513:458h30 -29m+in +out
! Temperance33.214:479h3216:2411h1016:3411h20+1h3816:0010h45 -25m+in +out
! Sawbill38.416:3211h1718:2313h0918:3313h19+1h5217:4012h25 -44m+in +out
! Oberg44.118:2013h0620:2215h0720:4215h27+2h0219:1013h55 -1h12+in +out
! Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0023:5418h40+2h4022:0016h45 -1h55+in +out

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload