REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 41264 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 27% slower than plan

Finished 02:5521h40

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 30% against the history — the plan has stopped describing this run; finish typically ±8m.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:412h2607:512h36+26mnone+in +out
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0308:533h3809:133h58+36m09:103h55 +17m+in +out
! Sugarloaf20.811:055h5012:347h20+1h2912:106h55 -25m+in +out
! Cramer Road26.112:397h2514:179h0314:379h23+1h3813:458h30 -33m+in +out
! Temperance33.214:479h3217:2412h09+2h3716:0010h45 -1h24+in +out
! Sawbill38.416:3211h1719:5414h4020:1414h59+3h2217:4012h25 -2h15+in +out
! Oberg44.118:2013h0622:5317h3923:0417h49+4h3319:1013h55 -3h44+in +out
! Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0002:5521h40+5h4022:0016h45 -4h55+in +out

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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