REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 39722 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 14% slower than plan

Finished 23:4518h30

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 3h26m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:442h30+30mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0309:033h4809:133h59+46m09:103h55 +7m+time
! Sugarloaf20.811:055h5012:146h5912:177h02+1h0912:106h55 -4m+time
! Cramer Road26.112:397h2513:578h4314:179h03+1h1813:458h30 -13m+time
! Temperance33.214:479h3216:1210h5816:2211h08+1h2516:0010h45 -13m+time
! Sawbill38.416:3211h1718:3313h1818:4213h28+2h0117:4012h25 -53m+time
! Oberg44.118:2013h0620:5215h3821:1215h57+2h3219:1013h55 -1h43+time
! Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0023:4518h30+2h3022:0016h45 -1h45+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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