REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 36668 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 31% slower than plan

Projected finish 03:4322h29 (03:3522h2103:5122h37)past the 22:0016h45 cutoff

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:342h2007:442h30+20mnone+time
! Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0309:133h5909:234h09+56m09:103h55 -4m+time
! Sugarloaf20.811:055h5012:277h1212:377h22+1h2212:106h55 -17m+time
! Cramer Road26.112:397h2514:449h3014:549h39+2h0513:458h30 -1h00+time
! Temperance33.214:479h3217:4312h2817:5312h39+2h5616:0010h45 -1h43+time
! Sawbill38.416:3211h1720:2415h0920:5415h39+3h5217:4012h25 -2h44+time
! Oberg44.118:2013h0623:0217h4723:3118h17+4h4219:1013h55 -3h52+time
! Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h00~03:43~22h29 ±8m22:0016h45 -5h44+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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