REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 33994 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 4% slower than plan

Finished 21:4416h30

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 5h26m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:252h1007:272h12+11mnone+in +out
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0308:343h20+17m09:103h55 +35m+in +out
Sugarloaf20.811:055h5011:156h0011:256h10+10m12:106h55 +55m+in +out
Cramer Road26.112:397h2513:147h5913:248h10+35m13:458h30 +31m+in +out
Temperance33.214:479h3215:4210h2815:5310h38+56m16:0010h45 +17m+in +out
Sawbill38.416:3211h1717:2412h1017:3412h20+53m17:4012h25 +15m+in +out
! Oberg44.118:2013h0619:1413h5919:2414h09+53m19:1013h55 -4m+in +out
Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0021:4416h30+30m22:0016h45 +15m+in +out

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload