REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 31786 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 8% faster than plan

Finished 19:2514h10

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 30% against the history — the plan has stopped describing this run; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 7h46m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:101h5507:202h05-4mnone+in +out
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0308:143h0008:173h02-3m09:103h55 +55m+in +out
Sugarloaf20.811:055h5010:445h2910:535h39-21m12:106h55 +1h26+in +out
Cramer Road26.112:397h2512:247h10-15m13:458h30 +1h20+in +out
Temperance33.214:479h3214:149h0014:259h10-32m16:0010h45 +1h45+in +out
Sawbill38.416:3211h1715:5410h4016:0410h49-37m17:4012h25 +1h45+in +out
Oberg44.118:2013h0617:2412h10-56m19:1013h55 +1h45+in +out
Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0019:2514h10-1h5022:0016h45 +2h35+in +out

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload