REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 2803 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 32% slower than plan

Projected finish 03:4222h28 (03:3422h2003:5022h36)past the 22:0016h45 cutoff

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:442h3007:552h40+30mnone+in +out
! Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0309:133h5809:334h18+55m09:103h55 -3m+in +out
! Sugarloaf20.811:055h5012:577h4213:268h12+1h5212:106h55 -47m+in +out
! Cramer Road26.112:397h2515:149h5915:2410h10+2h3513:458h30 -1h29+in +out
! Temperance33.214:479h3217:5312h3918:1312h58+3h0616:0010h45 -1h54+in +out
! Sawbill38.416:3211h1720:5315h3821:1315h58+4h2117:4012h25 -3h13+in +out
! Oberg44.118:2013h0623:3218h1823:5218h37+5h1219:1013h55 -4h23+in +out
! Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h00~03:42~22h28 ±8m22:0016h45 -5h43+in +out

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload