REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 24705 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 11% slower than plan

Finished 23:2418h10

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 3h46m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:152h00+1mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0308:353h2008:443h30+17m09:103h55 +35m+time
Sugarloaf20.811:055h5011:436h2811:456h31+38m12:106h55 +27m+time
Cramer Road26.112:397h2513:258h1113:358h20+46m13:458h30 +19m+time
Temperance33.214:479h3215:4610h3215:5710h42+1h0016:0010h45 +13m+time
! Sawbill38.416:3211h1717:4312h2918:0312h48+1h1117:4012h25 -4m+time
! Oberg44.118:2013h0619:4314h2819:5214h38+1h2319:1013h55 -33m+time
! Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0023:2418h10+2h1022:0016h45 -1h25+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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