REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 15367 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

7 of 7 aid stations reached · running 18% slower than plan

Finished 00:5419h40

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 2h16m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:041h5007:142h00-10mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou11.108:173h0308:243h0908:343h19+6m09:103h55 +46m+time
Sugarloaf20.811:055h5011:446h2911:546h40+39m12:106h55 +26m+time
! Cramer Road26.112:397h2513:478h3313:588h43+1h0813:458h30 -3m+time
! Temperance33.214:479h3216:2311h0916:4311h28+1h3616:0010h45 -24m+time
! Sawbill38.416:3211h1718:3413h1918:4413h30+2h0217:4012h25 -54m+time
! Oberg44.118:2013h0621:0215h4721:1215h57+2h4219:1013h55 -1h52+time
! Finish · Caribou Highlands51.621:1516h0000:5419h40+3h4022:0016h45 -2h55+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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